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<Research>JPM Reiterates Positive View on CN Banks, Expects Moderate Improvement in Revenue & Profit Growth
Recommend 28 Positive 45 Negative 15 |
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JPMorgan has issued a report reiterating its positive view on Chinese banks and predicting their revenue and profit growth to improve moderately on the bottoming out of the interest rate cut cycle and a recovery in fee income growth. In a risk-off environment, state-owned banks are expected to outpace joint-stock banks in the short term. JPMorgan’s top picks are BANK OF CHINA (03988.HK), ICBC (01398.HK), CCB (00939.HK) and BANKCOMM (03328.HK), all rated Overweight. Their target prices are HKD5.5, HKD7.35, HKD9.5, and HKD7.85, respectively. Among joint-stock banks, JPMorgan prefers CMB (600036.SH) and INDUSTRIAL BANK (601166.SH) for relatively stable profit growth and higher dividend yields. It has downgraded MINSHENG BANK (01988.HK) from Overweight to Neutral due to an unexpected slowdown in revenue growth and consecutive narrowing of NIM. The target price has dropped from HKD4.4 to HKD4. CEB BANK (06818.HK)’s rating has also been downgraded from Neutral to Underweight, and its target price has declined from HKD3.1 to HKD2.7, given a sharp profit contraction in 4Q25 and an unclear profit outlook for 2026. Auto-translated by AI AASTOCKS Financial News |
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