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印尼央行突加息四分一厘 印尼盾升0.6% 巴克萊料下周開會再加息半厘
印尼央行在週二(9日)突宣布將基準7天期逆回購利率上調25個基點,至5.5%。繼5月超預期加息50個基點之後,央行在三週內已累計加息75個基點。印尼央行原定下周召開政策會議。這是該行行長Perry Warjiyo約八年前執掌印尼央行以來的第二次非週期性加息。印尼央行認為需要採取進一步措施,通過提高孳息率和提供各種激勵措施以鼓勵外資流入,來加強穩定印尼盾匯率。...
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印尼央行突加息四分一厘 印尼盾升0.6% 巴克萊料下周開會再加息半厘
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印尼央行在週二(9日)突宣布將基準7天期逆回購利率上調25個基點,至5.5%。繼5月超預期加息50個基點之後,央行在三週內已累計加息75個基點。印尼央行原定下周召開政策會議。
這是該行行長Perry Warjiyo約八年前執掌印尼央行以來的第二次非週期性加息。印尼央行認為需要採取進一步措施,通過提高孳息率和提供各種激勵措施以鼓勵外資流入,來加強穩定印尼盾匯率。
央行聲明指,此次加息是一項後續措施,旨在加強印尼盾匯率的穩定,以應對中東戰爭加劇全球波動性所帶來的影響。聲明補充說,此舉亦是一項先發制人的措施,以確保2026年和2027年的通脹率控制在政府目標區間內。
印尼盾在亞洲時段曾升0.7%,創七個月來最大漲幅,最新報18,085兌一美元,升近0.6%。印尼國債續遭拋售,十年期國債孳息率攀升23個基點。印尼雅加達綜指(IDX)自約五年半低位反彈,曾升5.3%,現報5,554點,升4%。印尼盾今年已貶值近8%,而外國投資者已從印尼股市撤走超過35億美元,導致IDX下跌逾35%。屬《彭博》追蹤全球逾90個主要股市中表現最差。
此次緊急行動正值投資者普遍憂慮該國的支出計劃以及總統普拉博沃的干預主義和民粹主義經濟議程之際。捍衛印尼盾暴跌亦耗盡了外匯儲備,印尼5月外匯儲備連續第五個月下降,為自2018年以來最長的連跌紀錄。
《彭博》引述巴克萊銀行的經濟學家及PT Mega Capital Sekuritas的策略師在該決定後表示,他們預計印尼央行將在6月18日的會議上進一步加息,且有可能再加息50個基點。(da/u)
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