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《商品》山西煤炭復產未達預期 內地焦煤價格升至近兩年高 印尼出口限制推升亞洲基準價格
5月22日山西省長治市沁源縣煤礦爆炸,共造成82人死亡,128人受傷,另有2人失聯。礦難後續影響與持續進行的安全檢查,推動內地焦煤價格升至2024年以來的最高水平。大連焦煤期貨今早(8日)一度上漲1.9%,至每噸1,486.5元人民幣,為2024年10月以來最高,其後回吐大部分漲幅。本月迄今價格已上漲約14%。山西省部分焦煤礦仍然關閉,限制了供應。《彭博》引...
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《商品》山西煤炭復產未達預期 內地焦煤價格升至近兩年高 印尼出口限制推升亞洲基準價格
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5月22日山西省長治市沁源縣煤礦爆炸,共造成82人死亡,128人受傷,另有2人失聯。礦難後續影響與持續進行的安全檢查,推動內地焦煤價格升至2024年以來的最高水平。大連焦煤期貨今早(8日)一度上漲1.9%,至每噸1,486.5元人民幣,為2024年10月以來最高,其後回吐大部分漲幅。本月迄今價格已上漲約14%。
山西省部分焦煤礦仍然關閉,限制了供應。《彭博》引述弘則研究高級分析師Bu Tong稱,山西省的煤炭產量恢復情況未達預期,安全監管依然密集,使現貨市場維持緊張;同時海運煤炭價格也在快速跟上。據弘則研究數據,截至上週五(5日),仍有約6,000萬噸的年產能處於停產狀態。該機構稱,已恢復營運的煤礦產量較事故前減少約20%至30%。
另邊廂,由於全球最大煤炭出口國印尼的新出口規定延誤了出貨,正值夏季來臨、發電廠燃料需求上升之際收緊了供應,澳洲Newcastle 6月煤炭期貨上週五升至每噸148.75美元,為自2024年8月以來近月合約的最高水平。
印尼上月表示將控制包括煤炭在內的關鍵大宗商品的出貨,而6月實施的新系統引發混亂,導致印尼出貨延誤。這推升了市場對澳洲供應將有助填補缺口的預期。同時,在霍爾木茲海峽關閉以及卡塔爾最大出口工廠遭到襲擊擾亂了全球約20%的天然氣流量之後,日本等國亦正擴大煤炭使用,以減少對液化天然氣(LNG)的依賴。根據《彭博》彙編的數據,作為澳洲煤炭的關鍵買家,日本的燃煤電廠的運行率較去年有所提高。(da/u)
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