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Developers Subdued on Lower Rate Cut Expectations; NWD Tumbles 5%; MTR Hits 8-mth+ Low
Strong US employment data last month further cooled expectations for Fed rate cuts. Goldman Sachs analysts reduced their forecast for the Fed rate cuts this year from three to two....
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Developers Subdued on Lower Rate Cut Expectations; NWD Tumbles 5%; MTR Hits 8-mth+ Low
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Strong US employment data last month further cooled expectations for Fed rate cuts. Goldman Sachs analysts reduced their forecast for the Fed rate cuts this year from three to two. Another rate cut is expected next year to bring the terminal rate to 3.5-3.75%, from the current levels of 4.25-4.5%. BofA Securities also predicted the Fed may not cut rates again this year.

Some brokers were pessimistic about this year's local property price trend. UBS lowered its forecast for residential price increases this year from the original 0-5% range to no change, reflecting the potentially less rate cuts after the US election.

Related NewsDBS Cuts HANG LUNG PPT (00101.HK) TP to $7.09, Rating Buy
The interest rate-sensitive Hong Kong developers and landlords were subdued. NEW WORLD DEV (00017.HK)  -0.230 (-5.180%)    Short selling $28.00M; Ratio 32.251%   , with its leverage level closely watched by the market, opened 0.7% lower today (13th). Poised for an eleven-day losing streak, it once reached a historical low of $4.21 with a slump of 5.2% after midday. It last printed at $4.22, down 4.95%, on a turnover of $47.9409 million. Goldman Sachs reduced its target price for the company from $5.8 to $5.1 and kept the Sell rating unchanged.

Peers of Hong Kong developers were also softened. CK ASSET (01113.HK)  -0.300 (-0.952%)    Short selling $91.94M; Ratio 46.403%   and KERRY PPT (00683.HK)  -0.040 (-0.268%)    Short selling $4.69M; Ratio 19.740%   waned 1-1.5%. SHK PPT (00016.HK)  -1.100 (-1.545%)    Short selling $61.97M; Ratio 27.219%   lost 2%. HENDERSON LAND (00012.HK)  -0.400 (-1.794%)    Short selling $58.87M; Ratio 59.189%   dipped 2.9%.

In addition, MTR CORPORATION (00066.HK)  -1.050 (-4.167%)    Short selling $178.09M; Ratio 64.400%   hit an over eight-month low. It last printed at $24.1, down 4.37%, on a turnover of $1.94 billion. HSBC Global Research downgraded the company's rating from Buy to Hold and chopped its target price to $27, believing that even with continuous improvement in recurring business, the risk of a rising capital expenditure cycle may drag on profitability, and it lacks short-term catalysts despite its defensive nature.

Related NewsHSBC Global Research: HK Banks Won't Book Exposures in NWD as NPLs by End-2024/ End-2025 as Base Case; NPL Ratio in Banking System to Rise 1.3 ppts Under Bear Case
LINK REIT (00823.HK)  -0.700 (-2.181%)    Short selling $110.74M; Ratio 29.510%   reached a six-month low. It was last at $31.25, down 2.65%, on a turnover of $2.4 billion. WHARF REIC (01997.HK)  -0.160 (-0.857%)    Short selling $18.69M; Ratio 48.289%   sank to an over five-month low. It was last at $18.36, down 1.71%, on a turnover of $18.6529 million. HANG LUNG PPT (00101.HK)  -0.110 (-1.830%)    Short selling $11.33M; Ratio 22.013%   slipped to an over three-month low. It was last at $5.9, down 1.83%, on a turnover of $22.781 million.
(HK stocks quote is delayed for at least 15 mins.Short Selling Data as at 2025-01-13 16:25.)

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