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S&P Global Drops CN GDP Growth Forecast to 4.1% in 2025, 3.8% in 2026
The change in the US administration presents challenges for China and other regions in the Asia-Pacific, said rating agency S&P Global. An increase in US tariffs has become mor...
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S&P Global Drops CN GDP Growth Forecast to 4.1% in 2025, 3.8% in 2026
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The change in the US administration presents challenges for China and other regions in the Asia-Pacific, said rating agency S&P Global. An increase in US tariffs has become more likely, especially on Chinese goods, and potential changes in the US macroeconomic landscape are leading to varied interest rate expectations.

S&P Global expected China's stimulus measures to support growth, but potential US tariff hikes could squash the Chinese economy. It revised down its 2025-2026 economic growth forecasts for China, predicting a GDP growth of 4.1% in 2025 and a further slowdown to 3.8% in 2026, marking a decrease of 0.2 and 0.7 ppts respectively from September (before the US election).

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