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IEA Sharply Cuts Oil Demand Growth Forecast
The International Energy Agency (IEA) reversed course on Tuesday, stating that due to the Middle East war disrupting oil exports, global oil supply will shrink this year, while dem...
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IEA Sharply Cuts Oil Demand Growth Forecast
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The International Energy Agency (IEA) reversed course on Tuesday, stating that due to the Middle East war disrupting oil exports, global oil supply will shrink this year, while demand will also contract, marking a departure from its previous growth projections.

In its monthly oil market report, the IEA said that attacks on Middle Eastern energy facilities and Irans effective blockade of the Strait of Hormuz have affected production and exports. Supply is expected to decrease by 1.5 million barrels per day this year, equivalent to about 1.5% of global demand. This contrasts with the agencys forecast last month of an increase of 1.1 million barrels per day, and its projection at the beginning of the year of a 2.5 million barrels per day rise.

The report noted that the IEA described the Middle East war as the largest oil supply disruption in history and now expects a greater decline in demand. The agency currently forecasts demand growth will decline by 80,000 barrels per day this year, compared with its March projection of an increase of 640,000 barrels per day.

Overall, the IEAs forecast shows that in 2026, supply will exceed demand by only 410,000 barrels per day, compared with the surplus of 2.46 million barrels per day projected in last months report.

(to/s)~

This article was automatically translated by AI, the Chinese version should be considered the authoritative version. AASTOCKS.com Limited does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness and accepts no liability for any damages or losses arising from the use of this translation.

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