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高盛:若霍爾木茲海峽再關閉多一個月 今年布蘭特期油平均價將超過每桶100美元
高盛表示,如果霍爾木茲海峽再關閉多一個月,布蘭特期油價格今年將平均超過每桶100美元。今日(9日)國際油價反彈,布蘭特期油現升2.51%至每桶97.16美元,紐約期油亦升3.53%至97.74美元1高盛稱,目前局勢依然瞬息萬變,認為油價預測面臨偏向上行的風險。不過,目前的基本預期是,從本周末開始經由霍爾木茲海峽的能源運輸將逐漸增加,隨後波斯灣的出口將在一個月...
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高盛:若霍爾木茲海峽再關閉多一個月 今年布蘭特期油平均價將超過每桶100美元
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高盛表示,如果霍爾木茲海峽再關閉多一個月,布蘭特期油價格今年將平均超過每桶100美元。今日(9日)國際油價反彈,布蘭特期油現升2.51%至每桶97.16美元,紐約期油亦升3.53%至97.74美元1
高盛稱,目前局勢依然瞬息萬變,認為油價預測面臨偏向上行的風險。不過,目前的基本預期是,從本周末開始經由霍爾木茲海峽的能源運輸將逐漸增加,隨後波斯灣的出口將在一個月內逐步恢復到戰前水平。在此情境下,布蘭特期油第三季平均價格預測為每桶82美元,第四季為每桶80美元。
高盛又稱,如果停產時間延長以及部分地區產量下降,市場預測布蘭特期油在第三季將達到每桶120美元,第四季為每桶115美元。(mn/w)
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