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UBS Global Wealth Mgmt CIO: White House Executive Authority May Face Legal Challenges in Coming Wk; US Reciprocal Tariffs Expected to Have Negative Impact on CN/ Europe Stocks; Gold Liked
US President Donald Trump's “unprecedented” invocation of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) to announce reciprocal tariffs on a number of coun...
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UBS Global Wealth Mgmt CIO: White House Executive Authority May Face Legal Challenges in Coming Wk; US Reciprocal Tariffs Expected to Have Negative Impact on CN/ Europe Stocks; Gold Liked
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US President Donald Trump's “unprecedented” invocation of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) to announce reciprocal tariffs on a number of countries is expected to result in a legal challenge to the White House's executive authority in the coming week, UBS Global Wealth Management Chief Investment Office (CIO) issued a report saying.

Furthermore, businesses are expected to intensify lobbying efforts, and political pressure to ease tariffs is expected to mount as economic costs rise.

Meanwhile, the announced tariffs will have a negative impact on European and Chinese equities, and after YTD rallies in markets, a period of near-term de-risking is possible, particularly if retaliatory measures are announced. UBS held a Neutral stance on both markets, and preferred defensive strategies centered on Chinese SOEs.

At the same time, the broker expected gold to continue serving as a hedge against geopolitical and inflation risks, with a base case scenario of US$3,200 per ounce by the end of the year. However, UBS noted that gold could trade even higher in the event of reciprocal tariffs staying in place longer than expected.
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