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Market Analyses Say Trump's Tariff War Tends to Boost USD
Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump has recently criticised the USD's strength as damaging to US competitiveness, aligning with his previous stance as the US Preside...
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Market Analyses Say Trump's Tariff War Tends to Boost USD
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Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump has recently criticised the USD's strength as damaging to US competitiveness, aligning with his previous stance as the US President. Bloomberg reported that the market expects Trump to boost the USD if he is elected.

Deutsche Bank reported that it would be very difficult to weaken the USD, and that the cost of intervention would be in the trillions of dollars and would encourage capital outflows from the US. The report suggested that Trump's proposed tariffs and other measures are more likely to strengthen the USD than other measures to weaken it.

Barclays said that the risk of tariffs alone would be enough to push the USD higher, and that even if it were retaliated against, a tariff war would strengthen the USD by 4% against currencies such as the RMB.

Morgan Stanley also maintained the view that tariffs are shoring up the USD, especially as retaliation from trading partners increases global economic risk.

TS Lombard Managing Director Dario Perkins pointed out that the US government has a harder time depreciating its own currency than other countries because the US, as the world's reserve currency, has created structural purchases of the dollar itself.
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