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HK Nov PMI Ebbs back to 51.2; Biz Confidence Drops to 13-mth Low
S&P Global announced that the seasonally adjusted Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI) for Hong Kong ebbed back to 51.2 in November from the previous reading of 52.2, reflect...
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HK Nov PMI Ebbs back to 51.2; Biz Confidence Drops to 13-mth Low
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S&P Global announced that the seasonally adjusted Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI) for Hong Kong ebbed back to 51.2 in November from the previous reading of 52.2, reflecting that the business environment continued to improve towards the end of the year, but the magnitude of the improvement was milder than that of October. Concerns over the economic outlook, trade barriers and intense competition saw business confidence fall to a 13-month low.

Local demand picked up and business expansion took place at a good pace during the period, with companies expanding their operations for the second consecutive month on the back of a MoM increment in new orders. Across sectors, order growth and expansion of business activity were most notable in wholesale and retail in November. However, overall order and business activity growth was more modest than in October, due to a contraction in external demand. Orders from mainland China and overseas shrank since customers pared back budgets and competition escalated.

Jingyi Pan, Economics Associate Director at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said Hong Kong's PMI, based on October and November data, reflected improved economic growth in 4Q24, with output growth sustaining even though it decelerated in the latest month. Sustained new business expansion and a renewed accumulation of backlogged work further suggested that private sector output may remain in growth in the near-term.

Nonetheless, Pan noted that business pessimism rose to a 13-month high and business confidence was visibly low, somewhat reflecting concerns about the impact of trade barrier risks on the outlook for the market. In addition, export orders turned south in November, signaling anemic external demand.
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