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Citi Drops Forecast, Predicting Fed to Cut Rates by 25 Bps Next Wk
US's annual inflation rate slowed for the fifth consecutive month to a lower-than-expected 2.5% in August, but its monthly core inflation rate surpassed expectations. Citi adju...
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Citi Drops Forecast, Predicting Fed to Cut Rates by 25 Bps Next Wk
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US's annual inflation rate slowed for the fifth consecutive month to a lower-than-expected 2.5% in August, but its monthly core inflation rate surpassed expectations. Citi adjusted its US rate cut forecast, now predicting that the Fed would cut rates by 25 bps at next week's meeting, instead of the previously expected 50 bps.

Citi noted concerns over a higher-than-expected MoM increase of 0.3% in last month's core CPI and a MoM rise of 0.5% in owners' equivalent rent (OER). The highest rent increase since January reflected severe housing inflation. Consequently, the broker believes the Fed may adopt a more gradual approach to cutting rates, starting with a 25 bps cut next week.
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