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G Sachs Bearish on RMB, Expects USD/CNY to Fall to 7.1 in Next 3 Months
Goldman Sachs lowered its forecast for the USD/CNY over the next three months to 7.1 from 6.8, as it expected more downward pressure on CNY. The broker argued that the significantl...
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G Sachs Bearish on RMB, Expects USD/CNY to Fall to 7.1 in Next 3 Months
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Goldman Sachs lowered its forecast for the USD/CNY over the next three months to 7.1 from 6.8, as it expected more downward pressure on CNY. The broker argued that the significantly weaker Chinese economic data and progress in the US debt ceiling talks will lead to renewed strength in USD.

USD/CNY fell through the 7.0 mark last week for the first time since last December. Chinese authorities said Monday that RMB exchange rates would return to market fundamentals, as long as speculation is kept in check. However, Goldman believed the authorities' measures to support RMB may not work if there are no positive upside factors to support it.

Other major brokers also felt bearish on RMB. Citi expected USD/CNY to fall to 7.2 in the near term, Societe Generale expected USD/CNY to fall to 7.3 by the end of the year, while Nomura said USD/CNY may hit as low as 7.3 by mid-July.
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